"Most projections are wrong, because they’re based on models that don’t really correspond to the real world. If anything good comes of crisis, I hope it will be to discredit these ridiculous models that people rely on, and a return to something more like a historical understanding about the way the world works."
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- Niall Ferguson.
Basically sums up my view of the world. I’ve always had more faith in the humility insisted upon by history than the certainty suggested by statistics.
